Applied DNA Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| APDNDelisted Stock | USD 5.62 0.92 19.57% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Applied DNA Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 5.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.34. Applied Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Applied DNA's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 2
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Applied DNA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Applied DNA Sciences from the perspective of Applied DNA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Applied DNA Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 5.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.34. Applied DNA after-hype prediction price | USD 5.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Applied |
Applied DNA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Applied price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applied using various technical indicators. When you analyze Applied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Applied DNA Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Applied DNA Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 5.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.34.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Applied Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Applied DNA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Applied DNA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Applied DNA | Applied DNA Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Applied DNA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Applied DNA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.5757 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1859 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0502 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.3399 |
Predictive Modules for Applied DNA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Applied DNA Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Applied DNA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Applied DNA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Applied DNA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Applied DNA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Applied DNA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Applied DNA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Applied DNA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Applied DNA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Applied DNA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Applied DNA Sciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Pair Trading with Applied DNA
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Applied DNA position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Applied DNA will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Applied DNA could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Applied DNA when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Applied DNA - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Applied DNA Sciences to buy it.
The correlation of Applied DNA is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Applied DNA moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Applied DNA Sciences moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Applied DNA can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Applied Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Applied DNA Sciences check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Applied DNA's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world | |
| Idea Optimizer Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio |