Apollo Sindoori Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

APOLSINHOT   1,728  7.20  0.42%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Apollo Sindoori Hotels on the next trading day is expected to be 1,725 with a mean absolute deviation of 42.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,529. Apollo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Apollo Sindoori works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Apollo Sindoori Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Apollo Sindoori Hotels on the next trading day is expected to be 1,725 with a mean absolute deviation of 42.86, mean absolute percentage error of 3,849, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,529.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Apollo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Apollo Sindoori's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Apollo Sindoori Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Apollo SindooriApollo Sindoori Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Apollo Sindoori Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Apollo Sindoori's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Apollo Sindoori's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,721 and 1,728, respectively. We have considered Apollo Sindoori's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,728
1,725
Expected Value
1,728
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Apollo Sindoori stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Apollo Sindoori stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 9.9511
MADMean absolute deviation42.8562
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0236
SAESum of the absolute errors2528.5141
When Apollo Sindoori Hotels prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Apollo Sindoori Hotels trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Apollo Sindoori observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Apollo Sindoori

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apollo Sindoori Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Apollo Sindoori's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,5551,8021,805
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,4891,4931,901
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,7061,7341,762
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Apollo Sindoori

For every potential investor in Apollo, whether a beginner or expert, Apollo Sindoori's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Apollo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Apollo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Apollo Sindoori's price trends.

Apollo Sindoori Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Apollo Sindoori stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Apollo Sindoori could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apollo Sindoori by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Apollo Sindoori Hotels Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Apollo Sindoori's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Apollo Sindoori's current price.

Apollo Sindoori Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Apollo Sindoori stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Apollo Sindoori shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Apollo Sindoori stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Apollo Sindoori Hotels entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Apollo Sindoori Risk Indicators

The analysis of Apollo Sindoori's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apollo Sindoori's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apollo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Apollo Stock

Apollo Sindoori financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apollo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apollo with respect to the benefits of owning Apollo Sindoori security.