Aquaron Acquisition Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

AQUNU Stock  USD 11.37  0.28  2.40%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aquaron Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.64. Aquaron Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Aquaron Acquisition simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Aquaron Acquisition Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Aquaron Acquisition Corp prices get older.

Aquaron Acquisition Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aquaron Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aquaron Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aquaron Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Aquaron Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern

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Aquaron Acquisition Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Aquaron Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aquaron Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.82 and 12.92, respectively. We have considered Aquaron Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.37
11.37
Expected Value
12.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aquaron Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aquaron Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.3648
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0156
MADMean absolute deviation0.144
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0129
SAESum of the absolute errors8.6395
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Aquaron Acquisition Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Aquaron Acquisition observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Aquaron Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aquaron Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7411.2912.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7211.2712.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.0411.1412.24
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Aquaron Acquisition

For every potential investor in Aquaron, whether a beginner or expert, Aquaron Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aquaron Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aquaron. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aquaron Acquisition's price trends.

Aquaron Acquisition Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aquaron Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aquaron Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aquaron Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Aquaron Acquisition Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Aquaron Acquisition's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Aquaron Acquisition's current price.

Aquaron Acquisition Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aquaron Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aquaron Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aquaron Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aquaron Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Aquaron Acquisition Risk Indicators

The analysis of Aquaron Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aquaron Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aquaron stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Aquaron Stock Analysis

When running Aquaron Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure Aquaron Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aquaron Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of Aquaron Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aquaron Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aquaron Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aquaron Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.