Argo Group Stock Forward View
| ARGDDelisted Stock | USD 24.99 0.01 0.04% |
Argo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Argo Group stock prices and determine the direction of Argo Group 65's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Argo Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time The value of RSI of Argo Group's share price is above 80 . This suggests that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 94
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Argo Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Argo Group 65 from the perspective of Argo Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Argo Group 65 on the next trading day is expected to be 23.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.56. Argo Group after-hype prediction price | USD 24.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Argo |
Argo Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Argo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Argo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Argo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Argo Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Argo Group 65 on the next trading day is expected to be 23.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Argo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Argo Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Argo Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Argo Group | Argo Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Argo Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Argo Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1355 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4517 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.02 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.5551 |
Predictive Modules for Argo Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Argo Group 65. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Argo Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Argo Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Argo Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Argo Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Argo Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Argo Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Argo Group's historical news coverage. Argo Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.99 and 24.99, respectively. We have considered Argo Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Argo Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Argo Group 65 is based on 3 months time horizon.
Argo Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Argo Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Argo Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Argo Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.99 | 24.99 | 0.00 |
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Argo Group Hype Timeline
Argo Group 65 is presently traded for 24.99. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Argo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Argo Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.99. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of September 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.Argo Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Argo Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Argo Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Argo Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Argo Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WTREP | Watford Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AIFIF | Asia Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FGNX | Fundamental Global | (0.60) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 10.42 | (8.23) | 35.43 | |
| SGPLF | Saga Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ERPRF | European Reliance General | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CNCPF | Conduit Capital Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IHC | Independence Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Argo Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Argo Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Argo Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Argo Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Argo Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Argo Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Argo Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Argo Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Argo Group 65 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Argo Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Argo Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Argo Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting argo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.641 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Variance | 4.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.2017 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.31) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Argo Group
The number of cover stories for Argo Group depends on current market conditions and Argo Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Argo Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Argo Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Argo Group Short Properties
Argo Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Argo Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Argo Group 65 often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Argo Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Argo Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 644.4 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Other Consideration for investing in Argo Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Argo Group 65 check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Argo Group's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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