Sendas Distribuidora Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| ASAIDelisted Stock | USD 4.60 0.09 2.00% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sendas Distribuidora SA on the next trading day is expected to be 4.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.52. Sendas Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sendas Distribuidora's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026, the value of RSI of Sendas Distribuidora's share price is approaching 42. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sendas Distribuidora, making its price go up or down. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sendas Distribuidora hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sendas Distribuidora SA from the perspective of Sendas Distribuidora response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sendas Distribuidora SA on the next trading day is expected to be 4.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.52. Sendas Distribuidora after-hype prediction price | USD 4.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sendas |
Sendas Distribuidora Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sendas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sendas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sendas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sendas Distribuidora Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sendas Distribuidora SA on the next trading day is expected to be 4.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sendas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sendas Distribuidora's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sendas Distribuidora Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sendas Distribuidora | Sendas Distribuidora Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sendas Distribuidora stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sendas Distribuidora stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.035 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1782 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0327 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.516 |
Predictive Modules for Sendas Distribuidora
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sendas Distribuidora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sendas Distribuidora After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sendas Distribuidora at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sendas Distribuidora or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sendas Distribuidora, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sendas Distribuidora Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sendas Distribuidora's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sendas Distribuidora's historical news coverage. Sendas Distribuidora's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.60 and 4.60, respectively. We have considered Sendas Distribuidora's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sendas Distribuidora is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sendas Distribuidora is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sendas Distribuidora Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sendas Distribuidora is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sendas Distribuidora backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sendas Distribuidora, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.60 | 4.60 | 0.00 |
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Sendas Distribuidora Hype Timeline
Sendas Distribuidora is presently traded for 4.60. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sendas is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sendas Distribuidora is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.60. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Sendas Distribuidora last dividend was issued on the 10th of January 2025. The entity had 5:1 split on the 17th of August 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.Sendas Distribuidora Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sendas Distribuidora's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sendas Distribuidora's future price movements. Getting to know how Sendas Distribuidora's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sendas Distribuidora may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BRFS | BRF SA ADR | 3.67 | 4 per month | 2.82 | (0.02) | 5.65 | (5.23) | 14.75 | |
| TWNK | Hostess Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MZTI | The Marzetti | (1.06) | 6 per month | 1.15 | (0.03) | 1.98 | (1.93) | 12.08 | |
| NTCO | Natura Co Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VGR | Vector Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PRMW | Primo Water Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IBA | Industrias Bachoco SAB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MF | Missfresh Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PME | Pingtan Marine Enterprise | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Sendas Distribuidora Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sendas Distribuidora stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sendas Distribuidora could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sendas Distribuidora by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sendas Distribuidora Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sendas Distribuidora stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sendas Distribuidora shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sendas Distribuidora stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sendas Distribuidora SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Sendas Distribuidora
The number of cover stories for Sendas Distribuidora depends on current market conditions and Sendas Distribuidora's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sendas Distribuidora is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sendas Distribuidora's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Sendas Distribuidora Short Properties
Sendas Distribuidora's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sendas Distribuidora's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sendas Distribuidora SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sendas Distribuidora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sendas Distribuidora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.5 B |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Other Consideration for investing in Sendas Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Sendas Distribuidora check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Sendas Distribuidora's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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