ASI Aviation Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

ASAVDelisted Stock  USD 1.14  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ASI Aviation on the next trading day is expected to be 1.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. ASI Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of ASI Aviation's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ASI Aviation's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ASI Aviation and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ASI Aviation's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ASI Aviation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ASI Aviation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ASI Aviation from the perspective of ASI Aviation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ASI Aviation on the next trading day is expected to be 1.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

ASI Aviation after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

ASI Aviation Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ASI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ASI using various technical indicators. When you analyze ASI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for ASI Aviation is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ASI Aviation value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ASI Aviation Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ASI Aviation on the next trading day is expected to be 1.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ASI Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ASI Aviation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ASI Aviation Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest ASI AviationASI Aviation Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ASI Aviation pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ASI Aviation pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria48.8535
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ASI Aviation. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ASI Aviation. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ASI Aviation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASI Aviation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.141.141.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.970.971.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ASI Aviation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ASI Aviation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ASI Aviation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ASI Aviation.

ASI Aviation After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ASI Aviation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ASI Aviation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of ASI Aviation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ASI Aviation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ASI Aviation's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ASI Aviation's historical news coverage. ASI Aviation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.14 and 1.14, respectively. We have considered ASI Aviation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.14
1.14
After-hype Price
1.14
Upside
ASI Aviation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ASI Aviation is based on 3 months time horizon.

ASI Aviation Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ASI Aviation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ASI Aviation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ASI Aviation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.14
1.14
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

ASI Aviation Hype Timeline

ASI Aviation is presently traded for 1.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ASI is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on ASI Aviation is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.14. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. ASI Aviation had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

ASI Aviation Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ASI Aviation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ASI Aviation's future price movements. Getting to know how ASI Aviation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ASI Aviation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

ASI Aviation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ASI Aviation pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ASI Aviation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ASI Aviation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ASI Aviation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ASI Aviation pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ASI Aviation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ASI Aviation pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ASI Aviation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for ASI Aviation

The number of cover stories for ASI Aviation depends on current market conditions and ASI Aviation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ASI Aviation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ASI Aviation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

Other Consideration for investing in ASI Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in ASI Aviation check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the ASI Aviation's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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