Ashtead Gro Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ASHTYDelisted Stock | USD 70.74 0.48 0.68% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ashtead Gro on the next trading day is expected to be -51.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 938.85. Ashtead Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Ashtead Gro's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ashtead Gro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ashtead Gro from the perspective of Ashtead Gro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ashtead Gro on the next trading day is expected to be -51.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 938.85. Ashtead Gro after-hype prediction price | USD 70.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ashtead |
Ashtead Gro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ashtead price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ashtead using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ashtead charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ashtead Gro Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ashtead Gro on the next trading day is expected to be -51.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.39, mean absolute percentage error of 801.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 938.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ashtead Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ashtead Gro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ashtead Gro Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ashtead Gro | Ashtead Gro Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ashtead Gro Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ashtead Gro's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ashtead Gro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.71 and -42.14, respectively. We have considered Ashtead Gro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ashtead Gro pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ashtead Gro pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.7967 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 15.391 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1208 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 938.8514 |
Predictive Modules for Ashtead Gro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ashtead Gro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ashtead Gro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Ashtead Gro
For every potential investor in Ashtead, whether a beginner or expert, Ashtead Gro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ashtead Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ashtead. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ashtead Gro's price trends.Ashtead Gro Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ashtead Gro pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ashtead Gro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ashtead Gro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ashtead Gro Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ashtead Gro's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ashtead Gro's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ashtead Gro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ashtead Gro pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ashtead Gro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ashtead Gro pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Ashtead Gro entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ashtead Gro Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ashtead Gro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ashtead Gro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ashtead pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.42 | |||
| Variance | 88.81 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ashtead Gro to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Other Consideration for investing in Ashtead Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Ashtead Gro check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Ashtead Gro's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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