Andrews Sykes Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ASY Stock   517.50  2.50  0.49%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Andrews Sykes Group on the next trading day is expected to be 526.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.01. Andrews Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Andrews Sykes stock prices and determine the direction of Andrews Sykes Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Andrews Sykes' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Andrews Sykes' Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Inventory is expected to grow to about 4.5 M, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 11.8 M.
A naive forecasting model for Andrews Sykes is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Andrews Sykes Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Andrews Sykes Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Andrews Sykes Group on the next trading day is expected to be 526.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.79, mean absolute percentage error of 27.88, and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Andrews Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Andrews Sykes' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Andrews Sykes Stock Forecast Pattern

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Andrews Sykes Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Andrews Sykes' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Andrews Sykes' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 525.83 and 527.73, respectively. We have considered Andrews Sykes' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
517.50
525.83
Downside
526.78
Expected Value
527.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Andrews Sykes stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Andrews Sykes stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.4384
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.787
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0071
SAESum of the absolute errors231.0076
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Andrews Sykes Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Andrews Sykes. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Andrews Sykes

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Andrews Sykes Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
516.55517.50518.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
507.16508.11569.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
514.00517.00520.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Andrews Sykes

For every potential investor in Andrews, whether a beginner or expert, Andrews Sykes' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Andrews Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Andrews. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Andrews Sykes' price trends.

Andrews Sykes Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Andrews Sykes stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Andrews Sykes could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Andrews Sykes by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Andrews Sykes Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Andrews Sykes' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Andrews Sykes' current price.

Andrews Sykes Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Andrews Sykes stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Andrews Sykes shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Andrews Sykes stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Andrews Sykes Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Andrews Sykes Risk Indicators

The analysis of Andrews Sykes' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Andrews Sykes' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting andrews stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Andrews Stock

Andrews Sykes financial ratios help investors to determine whether Andrews Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Andrews with respect to the benefits of owning Andrews Sykes security.