Anchor Risk Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

ATGSXDelisted Fund  USD 10.65  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Anchor Risk Managed on the next trading day is expected to be 10.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.48. Anchor Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Anchor Risk is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Anchor Risk Managed value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Anchor Risk Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Anchor Risk Managed on the next trading day is expected to be 10.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Anchor Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Anchor Risk's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Anchor Risk Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Anchor RiskAnchor Risk Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Anchor Risk mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Anchor Risk mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.2772
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0406
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0038
SAESum of the absolute errors2.4764
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Anchor Risk Managed. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Anchor Risk. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Anchor Risk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anchor Risk Managed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Anchor Risk's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6510.6510.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.849.8411.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.6510.6510.65
Details

Anchor Risk Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Anchor Risk mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Anchor Risk could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Anchor Risk by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Anchor Risk Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Anchor Risk mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Anchor Risk shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Anchor Risk mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Anchor Risk Managed entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Anchor Risk Risk Indicators

The analysis of Anchor Risk's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Anchor Risk's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting anchor mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

Other Consideration for investing in Anchor Mutual Fund

If you are still planning to invest in Anchor Risk Managed check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Anchor Risk's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments