AlphaTime Acquisition Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

ATMCU Stock   11.50  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AlphaTime Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.28. AlphaTime Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for AlphaTime Acquisition works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

AlphaTime Acquisition Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AlphaTime Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AlphaTime Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AlphaTime Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AlphaTime Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern

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AlphaTime Acquisition Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AlphaTime Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AlphaTime Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.88 and 12.16, respectively. We have considered AlphaTime Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.50
11.52
Expected Value
12.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AlphaTime Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AlphaTime Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0128
MADMean absolute deviation0.0387
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0034
SAESum of the absolute errors2.2824
When AlphaTime Acquisition Corp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any AlphaTime Acquisition Corp trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent AlphaTime Acquisition observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for AlphaTime Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AlphaTime Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AlphaTime Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.8611.5012.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.3710.0112.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.4111.4811.56
Details

Other Forecasting Options for AlphaTime Acquisition

For every potential investor in AlphaTime, whether a beginner or expert, AlphaTime Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AlphaTime Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AlphaTime. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AlphaTime Acquisition's price trends.

AlphaTime Acquisition Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AlphaTime Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AlphaTime Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AlphaTime Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AlphaTime Acquisition Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AlphaTime Acquisition's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AlphaTime Acquisition's current price.

AlphaTime Acquisition Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AlphaTime Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AlphaTime Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AlphaTime Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AlphaTime Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AlphaTime Acquisition Risk Indicators

The analysis of AlphaTime Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AlphaTime Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alphatime stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for AlphaTime Stock Analysis

When running AlphaTime Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure AlphaTime Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AlphaTime Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of AlphaTime Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AlphaTime Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AlphaTime Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AlphaTime Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.