ATMV Old Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

ATMVDelisted Stock   10.30  0.11  1.06%   
ATMV Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of ATMV Old's share price is at 53. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ATMV Old, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 53

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ATMV Old's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ATMV Old and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ATMV Old's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ATMV Old, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ATMV Old hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ATMV Old from the perspective of ATMV Old response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ATMV Old on the next trading day is expected to be 5.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.54.

ATMV Old after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 10.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

ATMV Old Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ATMV price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ATMV using various technical indicators. When you analyze ATMV charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through ATMV Old price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

ATMV Old Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ATMV Old on the next trading day is expected to be 5.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.57, mean absolute percentage error of 4.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ATMV Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ATMV Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ATMV Old Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ATMV Old  ATMV Old Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ATMV Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ATMV Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.6576
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.5662
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1585
SAESum of the absolute errors95.5372
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as ATMV Old historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for ATMV Old

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATMV Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.5210.6619.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.649.7918.93
Details

ATMV Old After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ATMV Old at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ATMV Old or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ATMV Old, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ATMV Old Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ATMV Old's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ATMV Old's historical news coverage. ATMV Old's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.52 and 19.80, respectively. We have considered ATMV Old's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.30
10.66
After-hype Price
19.80
Upside
ATMV Old is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ATMV Old is based on 3 months time horizon.

ATMV Old Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ATMV Old is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ATMV Old backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ATMV Old, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.38 
9.14
  0.36 
  0.01 
7 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.30
10.66
3.50 
3,515  
Notes

ATMV Old Hype Timeline

ATMV Old is presently traded for 10.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.36, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. ATMV is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 3.5%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.38%. The volatility of related hype on ATMV Old is about 121866.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.29. ATMV Old currently holds 1.13 M in liabilities. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

ATMV Old Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ATMV Old's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ATMV Old's future price movements. Getting to know how ATMV Old's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ATMV Old may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

ATMV Old Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ATMV Old stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ATMV Old could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ATMV Old by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ATMV Old Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ATMV Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ATMV Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ATMV Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ATMV Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ATMV Old Risk Indicators

The analysis of ATMV Old's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ATMV Old's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atmv stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for ATMV Old

The number of cover stories for ATMV Old depends on current market conditions and ATMV Old's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ATMV Old is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ATMV Old's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

ATMV Old Short Properties

ATMV Old's future price predictability will typically decrease when ATMV Old's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ATMV Old often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ATMV Old's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ATMV Old's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4215.00
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Other Consideration for investing in ATMV Stock

If you are still planning to invest in ATMV Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the ATMV Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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