BankInvest Value Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

BAIVGAA Stock  DKK 107.50  0.05  0.05%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of BankInvest Value Globale on the next trading day is expected to be 107.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.39. BankInvest Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BankInvest Value stock prices and determine the direction of BankInvest Value Globale's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BankInvest Value's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for BankInvest Value Globale is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

BankInvest Value 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of BankInvest Value Globale on the next trading day is expected to be 107.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94, mean absolute percentage error of 1.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BankInvest Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BankInvest Value's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BankInvest Value Stock Forecast Pattern

BankInvest Value Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BankInvest Value's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BankInvest Value's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 106.75 and 108.32, respectively. We have considered BankInvest Value's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
107.50
106.75
Downside
107.54
Expected Value
108.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BankInvest Value stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BankInvest Value stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.8998
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3629
MADMean absolute deviation0.9378
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0091
SAESum of the absolute errors54.395
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of BankInvest Value. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for BankInvest Value Globale and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for BankInvest Value

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BankInvest Value Globale. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
106.71107.50108.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.75110.37111.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
104.39106.83109.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BankInvest Value. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BankInvest Value's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BankInvest Value's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BankInvest Value Globale.

Other Forecasting Options for BankInvest Value

For every potential investor in BankInvest, whether a beginner or expert, BankInvest Value's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BankInvest Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BankInvest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BankInvest Value's price trends.

BankInvest Value Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BankInvest Value stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BankInvest Value could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BankInvest Value by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BankInvest Value Globale Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BankInvest Value's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BankInvest Value's current price.

BankInvest Value Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BankInvest Value stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BankInvest Value shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BankInvest Value stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BankInvest Value Globale entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BankInvest Value Risk Indicators

The analysis of BankInvest Value's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BankInvest Value's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bankinvest stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with BankInvest Value

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if BankInvest Value position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BankInvest Value will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with BankInvest Stock

  0.66DSV DSV Panalpina ASPairCorr
  0.67MAERSK-B AP MllerPairCorr
  0.67MAERSK-A AP MllerPairCorr

Moving against BankInvest Stock

  0.91ESG Ennogie Solar GroupPairCorr
  0.9VWS Vestas Wind SystemsPairCorr
  0.77NOVO-B Novo Nordisk ASPairCorr
  0.76CONFRZ Conferize ASPairCorr
  0.76MONSO Monsenso ASPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to BankInvest Value could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace BankInvest Value when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back BankInvest Value - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling BankInvest Value Globale to buy it.
The correlation of BankInvest Value is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as BankInvest Value moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if BankInvest Value Globale moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for BankInvest Value can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in BankInvest Stock

BankInvest Value financial ratios help investors to determine whether BankInvest Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BankInvest with respect to the benefits of owning BankInvest Value security.