Bk Harda Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

BBHI Stock  IDR 895.00  5.00  0.56%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bk Harda Internasional on the next trading day is expected to be 895.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 16.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 962.50. BBHI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Bk Harda is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Bk Harda Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bk Harda Internasional on the next trading day is expected to be 895.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 16.31, mean absolute percentage error of 538.67, and the sum of the absolute errors of 962.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BBHI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bk Harda's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bk Harda Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bk HardaBk Harda Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Bk Harda Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bk Harda's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bk Harda's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 892.31 and 897.69, respectively. We have considered Bk Harda's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
895.00
892.31
Downside
895.00
Expected Value
897.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bk Harda stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bk Harda stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7238
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.9068
MADMean absolute deviation16.3136
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0173
SAESum of the absolute errors962.5
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Bk Harda Internasional price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Bk Harda. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Bk Harda

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bk Harda Internasional. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
877.30880.00882.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
759.60762.30968.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
875.86890.00904.14
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bk Harda

For every potential investor in BBHI, whether a beginner or expert, Bk Harda's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BBHI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BBHI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bk Harda's price trends.

Bk Harda Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bk Harda stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bk Harda could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bk Harda by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bk Harda Internasional Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bk Harda's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bk Harda's current price.

Bk Harda Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bk Harda stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bk Harda shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bk Harda stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bk Harda Internasional entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bk Harda Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bk Harda's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bk Harda's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bbhi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in BBHI Stock

Bk Harda financial ratios help investors to determine whether BBHI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BBHI with respect to the benefits of owning Bk Harda security.