Brickell Biotech Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

BBIDelisted Stock  USD 1.79  0.34  23.45%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Brickell Biotech on the next trading day is expected to be 1.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.60. Brickell Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Brickell Biotech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Brickell Biotech polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Brickell Biotech as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Brickell Biotech Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Brickell Biotech on the next trading day is expected to be 1.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brickell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brickell Biotech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Brickell Biotech Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Brickell BiotechBrickell Biotech Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brickell Biotech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brickell Biotech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria55.6939
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0533
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0333
SAESum of the absolute errors1.5988
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Brickell Biotech historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Brickell Biotech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brickell Biotech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.791.791.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.461.461.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Brickell Biotech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Brickell Biotech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Brickell Biotech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Brickell Biotech.

Brickell Biotech Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brickell Biotech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brickell Biotech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brickell Biotech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Brickell Biotech Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brickell Biotech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brickell Biotech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brickell Biotech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brickell Biotech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Other Consideration for investing in Brickell Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Brickell Biotech check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Brickell Biotech's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities