Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

BDRFF Stock  USD 128.29  2.44  1.87%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 129.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.12. Beiersdorf Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 129.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.36, mean absolute percentage error of 6.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beiersdorf Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 128.18 and 130.84, respectively. We have considered Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
128.29
128.18
Downside
129.51
Expected Value
130.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.4108
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.484
MADMean absolute deviation1.3642
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0102
SAESum of the absolute errors79.125
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
126.96128.29129.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.31114.64141.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
124.38137.10149.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha.

Other Forecasting Options for Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha

For every potential investor in Beiersdorf, whether a beginner or expert, Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beiersdorf Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beiersdorf. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha's price trends.

Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha's current price.

Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beiersdorf pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Beiersdorf Pink Sheet

Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beiersdorf Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beiersdorf with respect to the benefits of owning Beiersdorf Aktiengesellscha security.