Bright Scholar Stock Forward View

Bright Scholar Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bright price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bright using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bright charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Bright Scholar is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Bright Scholar Education value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Bright Scholar Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bright Scholar Education on the next trading day is expected to be 2.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.39.

Bright Scholar Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bright Scholar

Bright Scholar Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bright Scholar stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bright Scholar stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Bright Scholar Education. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Bright Scholar. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Bright Scholar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bright Scholar Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 1.63 2.25 2.87 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 1.22 1.84 2.46 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 1.69 2.22 2.75 Details

Bright Scholar After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Bright Scholar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Bright Scholar Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Bright Scholar Hype Timeline

Bright Scholar Education is currently traded for 2.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bright is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bright Scholar is about 9.223372036854776E16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.25. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bright Scholar Education recorded a loss per share of 4.07. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of July 2021. The firm had 1:4 split on the 19th of August 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.

Bright Scholar Related Hype Analysis

Bright Scholar Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Bright Scholar Market Strength Events

Bright Scholar Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Bright Scholar

Bright Scholar Short Properties

Other Consideration for investing in Bright Stock