Beijer Ref Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

BEIJ-B Stock  SEK 163.10  6.15  3.92%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Beijer Ref AB on the next trading day is expected to be 162.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 201.70. Beijer Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Beijer Ref stock prices and determine the direction of Beijer Ref AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Beijer Ref's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Beijer Ref price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Beijer Ref Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Beijer Ref AB on the next trading day is expected to be 162.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.31, mean absolute percentage error of 17.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 201.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beijer Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beijer Ref's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beijer Ref Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Beijer RefBeijer Ref Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Beijer Ref Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Beijer Ref's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beijer Ref's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 160.48 and 164.84, respectively. We have considered Beijer Ref's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
163.10
160.48
Downside
162.66
Expected Value
164.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beijer Ref stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beijer Ref stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.9923
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.3065
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0199
SAESum of the absolute errors201.6953
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Beijer Ref AB historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Beijer Ref

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijer Ref AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
160.92163.10165.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
146.38148.56179.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
153.16158.98164.81
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Beijer Ref

For every potential investor in Beijer, whether a beginner or expert, Beijer Ref's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beijer Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beijer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beijer Ref's price trends.

Beijer Ref Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beijer Ref stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beijer Ref could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beijer Ref by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beijer Ref AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Beijer Ref's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Beijer Ref's current price.

Beijer Ref Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beijer Ref stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beijer Ref shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beijer Ref stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beijer Ref AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beijer Ref Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beijer Ref's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beijer Ref's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beijer stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Other Information on Investing in Beijer Stock

Beijer Ref financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijer with respect to the benefits of owning Beijer Ref security.