BIM Birlesik Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BIMAS Stock | TRY 473.50 12.50 2.57% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BIM Birlesik Magazalar on the next trading day is expected to be 473.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 627.43. BIM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BIM Birlesik's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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BIM Birlesik Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BIM Birlesik Magazalar on the next trading day is expected to be 473.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.29, mean absolute percentage error of 193.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 627.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BIM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BIM Birlesik's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BIM Birlesik Stock Forecast Pattern
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BIM Birlesik Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BIM Birlesik's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BIM Birlesik's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 470.81 and 476.19, respectively. We have considered BIM Birlesik's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BIM Birlesik stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BIM Birlesik stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.3767 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.1389 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 10.2857 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0206 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 627.43 |
Predictive Modules for BIM Birlesik
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BIM Birlesik Magazalar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BIM Birlesik's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for BIM Birlesik
For every potential investor in BIM, whether a beginner or expert, BIM Birlesik's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BIM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BIM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BIM Birlesik's price trends.BIM Birlesik Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BIM Birlesik stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BIM Birlesik could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BIM Birlesik by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BIM Birlesik Magazalar Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BIM Birlesik's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BIM Birlesik's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BIM Birlesik Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BIM Birlesik stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BIM Birlesik shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BIM Birlesik stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BIM Birlesik Magazalar entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 169000.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.89) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 479.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 477.33 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (12.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (12.50) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.28 |
BIM Birlesik Risk Indicators
The analysis of BIM Birlesik's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BIM Birlesik's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bim stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Variance | 7.39 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in BIM Stock
BIM Birlesik financial ratios help investors to determine whether BIM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BIM with respect to the benefits of owning BIM Birlesik security.