Bio Rad Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BIO-B Stock  USD 336.00  3.36  0.99%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bio Rad Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 475.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 61.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,742. Bio Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bio Rad stock prices and determine the direction of Bio Rad Laboratories's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bio Rad's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Bio Rad's Inventory Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 5.53, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 5.69. . As of December 1, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 29.1 M. The current year's Net Loss is expected to grow to about (4 B).

Bio Rad Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Bio Rad's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1985-12-31
Previous Quarter
407.3 M
Current Value
411.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
248.1 M
 
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Covid
A naive forecasting model for Bio Rad is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Bio Rad Laboratories value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Bio Rad Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bio Rad Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 475.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 61.34, mean absolute percentage error of 7,163, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,742.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bio Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bio Rad's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bio Rad Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bio Rad stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bio Rad stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.9872
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation61.3447
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors3742.0259
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Bio Rad Laboratories. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Bio Rad. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Bio Rad

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bio Rad Laboratories. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.62332.3533,932
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.72214.4633,814
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
99.91300.09500.26
Details

Bio Rad Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bio Rad stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bio Rad could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bio Rad by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bio Rad Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bio Rad stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bio Rad shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bio Rad stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bio Rad Laboratories entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bio Rad Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bio Rad's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bio Rad's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bio stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Bio Rad Laboratories offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bio Rad's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bio Rad Laboratories Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bio Rad Laboratories Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bio Rad's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bio Rad is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bio Rad's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.