Brookdale Senior Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BKDTDelisted Stock | 77.60 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Brookdale Senior Living on the next trading day is expected to be 77.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.11. Brookdale Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Brookdale Senior's stock price is slightly above 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Brookdale, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Brookdale Senior hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brookdale Senior Living from the perspective of Brookdale Senior response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Brookdale Senior Living on the next trading day is expected to be 77.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.11. Brookdale Senior after-hype prediction price | USD 77.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Brookdale |
Brookdale Senior Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brookdale price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brookdale using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brookdale charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Brookdale Senior Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Brookdale Senior Living on the next trading day is expected to be 77.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38, mean absolute percentage error of 3.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brookdale Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brookdale Senior's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Brookdale Senior Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Brookdale Senior | Brookdale Senior Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brookdale Senior stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brookdale Senior stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.3738 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3788 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0197 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 84.1095 |
Predictive Modules for Brookdale Senior
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brookdale Senior Living. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brookdale Senior's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brookdale Senior After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brookdale Senior at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brookdale Senior or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brookdale Senior, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brookdale Senior Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brookdale Senior's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brookdale Senior's historical news coverage. Brookdale Senior's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.60 and 77.60, respectively. We have considered Brookdale Senior's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brookdale Senior is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brookdale Senior Living is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brookdale Senior Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brookdale Senior is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brookdale Senior backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brookdale Senior, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
77.60 | 77.60 | 0.00 |
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Brookdale Senior Hype Timeline
Brookdale Senior Living is currently traded for 77.60. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Brookdale is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Brookdale Senior is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.60. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.Brookdale Senior Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brookdale Senior's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brookdale Senior's future price movements. Getting to know how Brookdale Senior's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brookdale Senior may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ETHZ | ETHZilla | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 8.49 | (12.25) | 31.35 | |
| HSKA | Heska | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CTIC | CTi Biopharma Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CINC | CinCor Pharma | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SILK | Silk Road Medical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FNA | Paragon 28 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AGTI | Agiliti | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EQRX | EQRx Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PNT | POINT Biopharma Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Brookdale Senior Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brookdale Senior stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brookdale Senior could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brookdale Senior by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Brookdale Senior Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brookdale Senior stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brookdale Senior shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brookdale Senior stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brookdale Senior Living entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Brookdale Senior
The number of cover stories for Brookdale Senior depends on current market conditions and Brookdale Senior's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brookdale Senior is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brookdale Senior's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Brookdale Senior Short Properties
Brookdale Senior's future price predictability will typically decrease when Brookdale Senior's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brookdale Senior Living often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brookdale Senior's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brookdale Senior's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 227.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 328.8 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Other Consideration for investing in Brookdale Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Brookdale Senior Living check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Brookdale Senior's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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