Banco Espirito Pink Sheet Forward View

BKESYDelisted Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
Banco Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Banco Espirito's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Banco Espirito's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Banco Espirito Santo, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Banco Espirito hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banco Espirito Santo from the perspective of Banco Espirito response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banco Espirito Santo on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Banco Espirito after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Banco Espirito Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Banco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Banco Espirito is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Banco Espirito Santo value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Banco Espirito Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banco Espirito Santo on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banco Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banco Espirito's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Banco Espirito Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Banco Espirito  Banco Espirito Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banco Espirito pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banco Espirito pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Banco Espirito Santo. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Banco Espirito. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Banco Espirito

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Espirito Santo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Banco Espirito's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000850.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Banco Espirito After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Banco Espirito at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Banco Espirito or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Banco Espirito, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Banco Espirito Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Banco Espirito's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Banco Espirito's historical news coverage. Banco Espirito's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Banco Espirito's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Banco Espirito is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Banco Espirito Santo is based on 3 months time horizon.

Banco Espirito Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Banco Espirito is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Banco Espirito backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Banco Espirito, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Banco Espirito Hype Timeline

Banco Espirito Santo is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Banco is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Banco Espirito is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.0. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Banco Espirito Santo recorded a loss per share of 0.05. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of April 2011. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Banco Espirito Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Banco Espirito's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Banco Espirito's future price movements. Getting to know how Banco Espirito's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Banco Espirito may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Banco Espirito Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Banco Espirito pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Banco Espirito could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Banco Espirito by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Banco Espirito Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Banco Espirito pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Banco Espirito shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Banco Espirito pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Banco Espirito Santo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Banco Espirito

The number of cover stories for Banco Espirito depends on current market conditions and Banco Espirito's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Banco Espirito is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Banco Espirito's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

Other Consideration for investing in Banco Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Banco Espirito Santo check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Banco Espirito's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume