Bonterra Energy Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

BNEFF Stock  USD 2.42  0.12  4.72%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bonterra Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.29. Bonterra Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bonterra Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Bonterra Energy works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Bonterra Energy Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bonterra Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bonterra Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bonterra Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bonterra Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Bonterra Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bonterra Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bonterra Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.01, respectively. We have considered Bonterra Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.42
2.41
Expected Value
5.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bonterra Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bonterra Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0102
MADMean absolute deviation0.0558
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0212
SAESum of the absolute errors3.294
When Bonterra Energy Corp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Bonterra Energy Corp trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Bonterra Energy observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Bonterra Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bonterra Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.425.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.984.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bonterra Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bonterra Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bonterra Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bonterra Energy Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Bonterra Energy

For every potential investor in Bonterra, whether a beginner or expert, Bonterra Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bonterra Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bonterra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bonterra Energy's price trends.

Bonterra Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bonterra Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bonterra Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bonterra Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bonterra Energy Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bonterra Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bonterra Energy's current price.

Bonterra Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bonterra Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bonterra Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bonterra Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bonterra Energy Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bonterra Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bonterra Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bonterra Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bonterra pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Bonterra Pink Sheet

Bonterra Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bonterra Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bonterra with respect to the benefits of owning Bonterra Energy security.