Bombay Dyeing Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

BOMDYEING   211.28  2.83  1.32%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Bombay Dyeing Mfg on the next trading day is expected to be 199.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 389.46. Bombay Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bombay Dyeing's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Bombay Dyeing's Retained Earnings are decreasing as compared to previous years. The Bombay Dyeing's current Accounts Payable is estimated to increase to about 3.6 B, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to decrease to under 26.1 M.
Bombay Dyeing polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Bombay Dyeing Mfg as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Bombay Dyeing Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Bombay Dyeing Mfg on the next trading day is expected to be 199.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.38, mean absolute percentage error of 61.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 389.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bombay Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bombay Dyeing's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bombay Dyeing Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bombay DyeingBombay Dyeing Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Bombay Dyeing Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bombay Dyeing's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bombay Dyeing's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 196.61 and 202.00, respectively. We have considered Bombay Dyeing's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
211.28
196.61
Downside
199.31
Expected Value
202.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bombay Dyeing stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bombay Dyeing stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.2245
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation6.3845
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0291
SAESum of the absolute errors389.457
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Bombay Dyeing historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Bombay Dyeing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bombay Dyeing Mfg. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bombay Dyeing's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
208.60211.29213.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
195.91198.60232.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
202.39209.23216.07
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bombay Dyeing

For every potential investor in Bombay, whether a beginner or expert, Bombay Dyeing's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bombay Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bombay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bombay Dyeing's price trends.

Bombay Dyeing Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bombay Dyeing stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bombay Dyeing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bombay Dyeing by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bombay Dyeing Mfg Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bombay Dyeing's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bombay Dyeing's current price.

Bombay Dyeing Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bombay Dyeing stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bombay Dyeing shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bombay Dyeing stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bombay Dyeing Mfg entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bombay Dyeing Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bombay Dyeing's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bombay Dyeing's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bombay stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Bombay Stock

Bombay Dyeing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bombay Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bombay with respect to the benefits of owning Bombay Dyeing security.