Britvic PLC OTC Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

BTVCY Stock  USD 32.36  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Britvic PLC ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 32.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.70. Britvic OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Britvic PLC polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Britvic PLC ADR as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Britvic PLC Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Britvic PLC ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 32.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Britvic OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Britvic PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Britvic PLC OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Britvic PLC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Britvic PLC's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Britvic PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.92 and 33.01, respectively. We have considered Britvic PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.36
32.47
Expected Value
33.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Britvic PLC otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Britvic PLC otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.2407
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1918
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0058
SAESum of the absolute errors11.7023
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Britvic PLC historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Britvic PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Britvic PLC ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Britvic PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.8132.3632.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.2232.7733.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.3632.3632.36
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Britvic PLC

For every potential investor in Britvic, whether a beginner or expert, Britvic PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Britvic OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Britvic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Britvic PLC's price trends.

Britvic PLC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Britvic PLC otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Britvic PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Britvic PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Britvic PLC ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Britvic PLC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Britvic PLC's current price.

Britvic PLC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Britvic PLC otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Britvic PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Britvic PLC otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Britvic PLC ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Britvic PLC Risk Indicators

The analysis of Britvic PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Britvic PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting britvic otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Britvic OTC Stock Analysis

When running Britvic PLC's price analysis, check to measure Britvic PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Britvic PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Britvic PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Britvic PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Britvic PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Britvic PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.