Clinica Baviera Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CBAV Stock  EUR 33.70  0.30  0.90%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Clinica Baviera on the next trading day is expected to be 33.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.88. Clinica Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Clinica Baviera stock prices and determine the direction of Clinica Baviera's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Clinica Baviera's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Clinica Baviera - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Clinica Baviera prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Clinica Baviera price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Clinica Baviera.

Clinica Baviera Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Clinica Baviera on the next trading day is expected to be 33.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Clinica Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Clinica Baviera's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Clinica Baviera Stock Forecast Pattern

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Clinica Baviera Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Clinica Baviera's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Clinica Baviera's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.19 and 36.12, respectively. We have considered Clinica Baviera's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
33.70
33.66
Expected Value
36.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Clinica Baviera stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Clinica Baviera stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1533
MADMean absolute deviation0.642
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0181
SAESum of the absolute errors37.8783
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Clinica Baviera observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Clinica Baviera observations.

Predictive Modules for Clinica Baviera

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clinica Baviera. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.2333.7036.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.3428.8137.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.8834.2935.70
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Clinica Baviera

For every potential investor in Clinica, whether a beginner or expert, Clinica Baviera's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Clinica Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Clinica. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Clinica Baviera's price trends.

Clinica Baviera Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Clinica Baviera stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Clinica Baviera could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clinica Baviera by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Clinica Baviera Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Clinica Baviera's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Clinica Baviera's current price.

Clinica Baviera Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Clinica Baviera stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Clinica Baviera shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Clinica Baviera stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Clinica Baviera entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Clinica Baviera Risk Indicators

The analysis of Clinica Baviera's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Clinica Baviera's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting clinica stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Clinica Stock

Clinica Baviera financial ratios help investors to determine whether Clinica Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Clinica with respect to the benefits of owning Clinica Baviera security.