Chibougamau Independent Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CBG Stock  CAD 0.14  0.01  7.69%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chibougamau Independent Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.23. Chibougamau Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Chibougamau Independent's Total Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Total Current Liabilities is likely to climb to about 387.9 K in 2024, whereas Net Tangible Assets are likely to drop slightly above 392.5 K in 2024.
A naive forecasting model for Chibougamau Independent is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Chibougamau Independent Mines value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Chibougamau Independent Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chibougamau Independent Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000025, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chibougamau Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chibougamau Independent's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Chibougamau Independent Stock Forecast Pattern

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Chibougamau Independent Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Chibougamau Independent's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chibougamau Independent's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.31, respectively. We have considered Chibougamau Independent's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.14
0.15
Expected Value
5.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chibougamau Independent stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chibougamau Independent stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.5225
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0037
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0304
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2268
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Chibougamau Independent Mines. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Chibougamau Independent. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Chibougamau Independent

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chibougamau Independent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.145.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.115.28
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Chibougamau Independent

For every potential investor in Chibougamau, whether a beginner or expert, Chibougamau Independent's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chibougamau Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chibougamau. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chibougamau Independent's price trends.

Chibougamau Independent Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chibougamau Independent stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chibougamau Independent could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chibougamau Independent by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Chibougamau Independent Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Chibougamau Independent's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Chibougamau Independent's current price.

Chibougamau Independent Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chibougamau Independent stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chibougamau Independent shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chibougamau Independent stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chibougamau Independent Mines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Chibougamau Independent Risk Indicators

The analysis of Chibougamau Independent's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chibougamau Independent's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chibougamau stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Chibougamau Stock Analysis

When running Chibougamau Independent's price analysis, check to measure Chibougamau Independent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chibougamau Independent is operating at the current time. Most of Chibougamau Independent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chibougamau Independent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chibougamau Independent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chibougamau Independent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.