Columbia Acorn Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CCIRX Fund  USD 24.48  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Columbia Acorn International on the next trading day is expected to be 24.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.70. Columbia Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Columbia Acorn simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Columbia Acorn International are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Columbia Acorn Inter prices get older.

Columbia Acorn Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Columbia Acorn International on the next trading day is expected to be 24.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Columbia Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Columbia Acorn's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Columbia Acorn Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Columbia Acorn mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Columbia Acorn mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.4047
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0389
MADMean absolute deviation0.1783
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0068
SAESum of the absolute errors10.6975
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Columbia Acorn International forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Columbia Acorn observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Columbia Acorn

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Acorn Inter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.5924.4825.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.2323.1226.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
23.8724.7725.67
Details

Columbia Acorn Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Columbia Acorn mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Columbia Acorn could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Columbia Acorn by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Columbia Acorn Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Columbia Acorn mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Columbia Acorn shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Columbia Acorn mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Columbia Acorn International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Columbia Acorn Risk Indicators

The analysis of Columbia Acorn's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Columbia Acorn's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting columbia mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Columbia Mutual Fund

Columbia Acorn financial ratios help investors to determine whether Columbia Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Columbia with respect to the benefits of owning Columbia Acorn security.
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