China State Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CCOHFDelisted Stock | USD 1.57 0.00 0.00% |
China Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of China State's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of China State's pink sheet price is roughly 69 suggesting that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 25th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling China, making its price go up or down. Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using China State hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China State Construction from the perspective of China State response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of China State Construction on the next trading day is expected to be 1.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.51. China State after-hype prediction price | USD 1.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
China State Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
China State Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of China State Construction on the next trading day is expected to be 1.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China State's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
China State Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest China State | China State Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China State pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China State pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.0508 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0575 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0407 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.5056 |
Predictive Modules for China State
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China State Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.China State After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China State at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China State or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China State, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China State Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China State's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China State's historical news coverage. China State's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.57 and 1.57, respectively. We have considered China State's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China State is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China State Construction is based on 3 months time horizon.
China State Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China State is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China State backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China State, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.57 | 1.57 | 0.00 |
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China State Hype Timeline
China State Construction is currently traded for 1.57. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. China is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on China State is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.57. About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.61. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China State Construction last dividend was issued on the 15th of September 2022. The entity had 4:1 split on the 13th of June 2008. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.China State Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China State's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China State's future price movements. Getting to know how China State's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China State may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHMUY | Shimizu Corp ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TISCF | Taisei | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.12 | |
| PYOIF | Promotora Y Operadora | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AVHNY | Ackermans Van Haaren | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.71 | |
| EKIVF | Enka Insaat ve | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 395.24 | |
| JDLGF | JD Logistics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.99 | |
| SOMLY | Secom Co Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | 0.06 | 1.93 | (1.49) | 8.20 | |
| BCKIF | Babcock International Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.89 | 0.12 | 5.40 | (3.89) | 10.58 | |
| JPNRF | Japan Airlines Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BCKIY | Babcock International Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.55 | 0.15 | 2.52 | (3.06) | 9.65 |
China State Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China State pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China State could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China State by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
China State Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China State pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China State shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China State pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify China State Construction entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for China State
The number of cover stories for China State depends on current market conditions and China State's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China State is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China State's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Other Consideration for investing in China Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in China State Construction check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the China State's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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