Calvert Capital Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

CCPIXDelisted Fund  USD 40.70  0.00  0.00%   
Calvert Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Calvert Capital's share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Calvert Capital, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Calvert Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Calvert Capital Accumulation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Calvert Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Calvert Capital Accumulation from the perspective of Calvert Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Calvert Capital Accumulation on the next trading day is expected to be 43.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.49.

Calvert Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 40.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Calvert Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Calvert price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Calvert using various technical indicators. When you analyze Calvert charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Calvert Capital polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Calvert Capital Accumulation as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Calvert Capital Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Calvert Capital Accumulation on the next trading day is expected to be 43.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 1.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Calvert Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Calvert Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Calvert Capital Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Calvert Capital  Calvert Capital Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Calvert Capital mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Calvert Capital mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.4664
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6146
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0144
SAESum of the absolute errors37.4879
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Calvert Capital historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Calvert Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calvert Capital Accu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.7040.7040.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.2738.2744.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
38.2141.9445.67
Details

Calvert Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Calvert Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Calvert Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Calvert Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Calvert Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Calvert Capital's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Calvert Capital's historical news coverage. Calvert Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.70 and 40.70, respectively. We have considered Calvert Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
40.70
40.70
After-hype Price
40.70
Upside
Calvert Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Calvert Capital Accu is based on 3 months time horizon.

Calvert Capital Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Calvert Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Calvert Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Calvert Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
40.70
40.70
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Calvert Capital Hype Timeline

Calvert Capital Accu is currently traded for 40.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Calvert is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Calvert Capital is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.70. The company last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Calvert Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Calvert Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Calvert Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Calvert Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Calvert Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Calvert Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Calvert Capital mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Calvert Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Calvert Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Calvert Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Calvert Capital mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Calvert Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Calvert Capital mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Calvert Capital Accumulation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Calvert Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Calvert Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Calvert Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting calvert mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Calvert Capital

The number of cover stories for Calvert Capital depends on current market conditions and Calvert Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Calvert Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Calvert Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in Calvert Mutual Fund

If you are still planning to invest in Calvert Capital Accu check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Calvert Capital's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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