Canadian Utilities Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

CDUAF Stock  USD 25.57  0.30  1.19%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Canadian Utilities Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 25.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.67. Canadian Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Canadian Utilities' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Canadian Utilities is based on an artificially constructed time series of Canadian Utilities daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Canadian Utilities 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Canadian Utilities Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 25.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Canadian Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Canadian Utilities' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Canadian Utilities Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Canadian Utilities Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Canadian Utilities' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Canadian Utilities' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.27 and 26.77, respectively. We have considered Canadian Utilities' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.57
25.52
Expected Value
26.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Canadian Utilities pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Canadian Utilities pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.8889
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0117
MADMean absolute deviation0.4089
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.016
SAESum of the absolute errors21.6738
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Canadian Utilities Limited 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Canadian Utilities

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canadian Utilities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.3225.5726.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.7021.9528.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Canadian Utilities. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Canadian Utilities' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Canadian Utilities' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Canadian Utilities.

Other Forecasting Options for Canadian Utilities

For every potential investor in Canadian, whether a beginner or expert, Canadian Utilities' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Canadian Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Canadian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Canadian Utilities' price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Canadian Utilities Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Canadian Utilities' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Canadian Utilities' current price.

Canadian Utilities Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Canadian Utilities pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Canadian Utilities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Canadian Utilities pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Canadian Utilities Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Canadian Utilities Risk Indicators

The analysis of Canadian Utilities' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Canadian Utilities' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting canadian pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Canadian Pink Sheet

Canadian Utilities financial ratios help investors to determine whether Canadian Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Canadian with respect to the benefits of owning Canadian Utilities security.