Compal Electronics Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

CEIR Stock   3.10  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Compal Electronics GDR on the next trading day is expected to be 3.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Compal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Compal Electronics' Current Deferred Revenue is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Net Debt is likely to gain to about 24.7 B in 2024, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 70.7 B in 2024.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Compal Electronics GDR is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Compal Electronics 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Compal Electronics GDR on the next trading day is expected to be 3.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Compal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Compal Electronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Compal Electronics Stock Forecast Pattern

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Compal Electronics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Compal Electronics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Compal Electronics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.10 and 3.10, respectively. We have considered Compal Electronics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.10
3.10
Expected Value
3.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Compal Electronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Compal Electronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Compal Electronics. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Compal Electronics GDR and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Compal Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compal Electronics GDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.103.103.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.103.103.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Compal Electronics

For every potential investor in Compal, whether a beginner or expert, Compal Electronics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Compal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Compal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Compal Electronics' price trends.

Compal Electronics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Compal Electronics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Compal Electronics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Compal Electronics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Compal Electronics GDR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Compal Electronics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Compal Electronics' current price.

Compal Electronics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Compal Electronics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Compal Electronics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Compal Electronics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Compal Electronics GDR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Compal Stock Analysis

When running Compal Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Compal Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compal Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Compal Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compal Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compal Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compal Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.