CEZ As Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| CEZ Stock | 164.30 1.30 0.80% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CEZ as on the next trading day is expected to be 160.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.05. CEZ Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
CEZ |
CEZ As 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CEZ as on the next trading day is expected to be 160.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95, mean absolute percentage error of 7.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CEZ Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CEZ As' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CEZ As Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CEZ As | CEZ As Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CEZ As Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CEZ As' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CEZ As' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 159.27 and 162.28, respectively. We have considered CEZ As' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CEZ As stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CEZ As stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5708 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.669 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.9491 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0127 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 113.05 |
Predictive Modules for CEZ As
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CEZ as. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CEZ As' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for CEZ As
For every potential investor in CEZ, whether a beginner or expert, CEZ As' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CEZ Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CEZ. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CEZ As' price trends.CEZ As Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CEZ As stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CEZ As could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CEZ As by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CEZ as Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CEZ As' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CEZ As' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CEZ As Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CEZ As stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CEZ As shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CEZ As stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CEZ as entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CEZ As Risk Indicators
The analysis of CEZ As' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CEZ As' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cez stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.87 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.49 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.21) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with CEZ As
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CEZ As position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CEZ As will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with CEZ Stock
Moving against CEZ Stock
| 0.57 | PKN | Polski Koncern Naftowy | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | ING | ING Bank lski | PairCorr |
| 0.31 | PEO | Bank Polska Kasa | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to CEZ As could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CEZ As when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CEZ As - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CEZ as to buy it.
The correlation of CEZ As is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CEZ As moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CEZ as moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CEZ As can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for CEZ Stock Analysis
When running CEZ As' price analysis, check to measure CEZ As' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CEZ As is operating at the current time. Most of CEZ As' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CEZ As' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CEZ As' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CEZ As to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.