CI Global Fund Forward View - Simple Moving Average

CIG18006   115.21  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CI Global Alpha on the next trading day is expected to be 115.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.31. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast CI Global's fund prices and determine the direction of CI Global Alpha's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. The relative strength index (RSI) of CI Global's share price is below 30 as of today suggesting that the fund is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling CI Global Alpha, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 29

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CI Global's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CI Global Alpha, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CI Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CI Global Alpha from the perspective of CI Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CI Global Alpha on the next trading day is expected to be 115.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.31.

CI Global after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 115.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

CI Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CIG18006 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CIG18006 using various technical indicators. When you analyze CIG18006 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for CI Global is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

CI Global Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CI Global Alpha on the next trading day is expected to be 115.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58, mean absolute percentage error of 4.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CIG18006 Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CI Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CI Global Fund Forecast Pattern

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CI Global fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CI Global fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.9033
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1613
MADMean absolute deviation1.5816
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.013
SAESum of the absolute errors93.315
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of CI Global Alpha price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of CI Global. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for CI Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CI Global Alpha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CI Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CI Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CI Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CI Global Alpha.

CI Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

As far as predicting the price of CI Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CI Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of CI Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CI Global Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as CI Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CI Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CI Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
1.39
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
115.21
115.21
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

CI Global Hype Timeline

CI Global Alpha is currently traded for 115.21on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CIG18006 is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on CI Global is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 115.21. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

CI Global Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CI Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CI Global's future price movements. Getting to know how CI Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CI Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

CI Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CI Global fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CI Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CI Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CI Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CI Global fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CI Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CI Global fund market strength indicators, traders can identify CI Global Alpha entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CI Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of CI Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CI Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cig18006 fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for CI Global

The number of cover stories for CI Global depends on current market conditions and CI Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CI Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CI Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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