Cairo For Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CIRF Stock   14.20  0.04  0.28%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cairo For Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 14.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.20. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Cairo For's stock prices and determine the direction of Cairo For Investment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cairo For's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Cairo For - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Cairo For prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Cairo For price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Cairo For Investment.

Cairo For Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cairo For Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 14.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cairo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cairo For's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cairo For Stock Forecast Pattern

Cairo For Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cairo For's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cairo For's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.71 and 15.71, respectively. We have considered Cairo For's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.20
14.21
Expected Value
15.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cairo For stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cairo For stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.034
MADMean absolute deviation0.1699
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0121
SAESum of the absolute errors10.1958
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Cairo For observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Cairo For Investment observations.

Predictive Modules for Cairo For

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cairo For Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Cairo For

For every potential investor in Cairo, whether a beginner or expert, Cairo For's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cairo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cairo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cairo For's price trends.

Cairo For Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cairo For stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cairo For could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cairo For by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cairo For Investment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cairo For's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cairo For's current price.

Cairo For Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cairo For stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cairo For shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cairo For stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cairo For Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cairo For Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cairo For's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cairo For's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cairo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.