Civitas Resources Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CIVIWDelisted Stock | 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Civitas Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Civitas Resources from the perspective of Civitas Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Civitas Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.74. Civitas Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 0.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Civitas |
Civitas Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Civitas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Civitas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Civitas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Civitas Resources Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Civitas Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Civitas Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Civitas Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Civitas Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Civitas Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Civitas Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.69 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0285 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 1.1842 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.7415 |
Predictive Modules for Civitas Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Civitas Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Civitas Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Civitas Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Civitas Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Civitas Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Civitas Resources Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Civitas Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Civitas Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Civitas Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
|
Civitas Resources Hype Timeline
Civitas Resources is currently traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Civitas is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Civitas Resources is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.Civitas Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Civitas Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Civitas Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Civitas Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Civitas Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XPOF | Xponential Fitness | 0.16 | 7 per month | 2.71 | 0.06 | 5.26 | (4.45) | 25.15 | |
| HTRC | Hunter Creek Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ELNX | Aperture Health | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RICK | RCI Hospitality Holdings | 0.99 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.38 | (4.42) | 19.06 | |
| CAEN | California Engels Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LVVEF | Yooma Wellness | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HUSIF | Nicola Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.21 | 0.01 | 9.09 | (6.45) | 21.13 |
Civitas Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Civitas Resources pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Civitas Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Civitas Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Civitas Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Civitas Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Civitas Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Civitas Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Civitas Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Civitas Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Civitas Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Civitas Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting civitas pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 49.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 26.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 125.88 | |||
| Variance | 15846.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4401.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 693.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (183.72) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Civitas Resources
The number of cover stories for Civitas Resources depends on current market conditions and Civitas Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Civitas Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Civitas Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Other Consideration for investing in Civitas Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Civitas Resources check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Civitas Resources' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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