CLP Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

CLPHY Stock  USD 8.44  0.05  0.60%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CLP Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 8.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.01. CLP Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for CLP Holdings is based on an artificially constructed time series of CLP Holdings daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

CLP Holdings 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CLP Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 8.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CLP Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CLP Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CLP Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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CLP Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CLP Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CLP Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.44 and 9.56, respectively. We have considered CLP Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.44
8.50
Expected Value
9.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CLP Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CLP Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria99.5991
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0413
MADMean absolute deviation0.1135
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0129
SAESum of the absolute errors6.0138
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. CLP Holdings 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for CLP Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CLP Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.388.449.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.618.679.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CLP Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CLP Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CLP Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CLP Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for CLP Holdings

For every potential investor in CLP, whether a beginner or expert, CLP Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CLP Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CLP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CLP Holdings' price trends.

CLP Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CLP Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CLP Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CLP Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CLP Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CLP Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CLP Holdings' current price.

CLP Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CLP Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CLP Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CLP Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify CLP Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CLP Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of CLP Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CLP Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting clp pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for CLP Pink Sheet Analysis

When running CLP Holdings' price analysis, check to measure CLP Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CLP Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of CLP Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CLP Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CLP Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CLP Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.