CMG Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CMGO Stock  USD 0  0.0003  14.29%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CMG Holdings Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. CMG Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for CMG Holdings - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When CMG Holdings prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in CMG Holdings price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of CMG Holdings Group.

CMG Holdings Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CMG Holdings Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CMG Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CMG Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CMG Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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CMG Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CMG Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CMG Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000018 and 12.27, respectively. We have considered CMG Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0.000018
Downside
0
Expected Value
12.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CMG Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CMG Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0797
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0095
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past CMG Holdings observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older CMG Holdings Group observations.

Predictive Modules for CMG Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CMG Holdings Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00012.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00012.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CMG Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CMG Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CMG Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CMG Holdings Group.

Other Forecasting Options for CMG Holdings

For every potential investor in CMG, whether a beginner or expert, CMG Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CMG Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CMG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CMG Holdings' price trends.

CMG Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CMG Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CMG Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CMG Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CMG Holdings Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CMG Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CMG Holdings' current price.

CMG Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CMG Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CMG Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CMG Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify CMG Holdings Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CMG Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of CMG Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CMG Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cmg pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with CMG Holdings

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CMG Holdings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CMG Holdings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against CMG Pink Sheet

  0.39BA Boeing Fiscal Year End 29th of January 2025 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to CMG Holdings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CMG Holdings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CMG Holdings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CMG Holdings Group to buy it.
The correlation of CMG Holdings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CMG Holdings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CMG Holdings Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CMG Holdings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in CMG Pink Sheet

CMG Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether CMG Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CMG with respect to the benefits of owning CMG Holdings security.