CMUV Bancorp OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| CMUVDelisted Stock | USD 24.72 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CMUV Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.71. CMUV OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of CMUV Bancorp's share price is below 20 suggesting that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CMUV Bancorp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using CMUV Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CMUV Bancorp from the perspective of CMUV Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CMUV Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.71. CMUV Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 24.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CMUV |
CMUV Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CMUV price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CMUV using various technical indicators. When you analyze CMUV charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CMUV Bancorp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CMUV Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CMUV OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CMUV Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CMUV Bancorp OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CMUV Bancorp | CMUV Bancorp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CMUV Bancorp otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CMUV Bancorp otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.5439 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2084 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0086 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.7102 |
Predictive Modules for CMUV Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CMUV Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CMUV Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CMUV Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CMUV Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CMUV Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of CMUV Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CMUV Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CMUV Bancorp's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CMUV Bancorp's historical news coverage. CMUV Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.72 and 24.72, respectively. We have considered CMUV Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CMUV Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CMUV Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
CMUV Bancorp OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as CMUV Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CMUV Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CMUV Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.72 | 24.72 | 0.00 |
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CMUV Bancorp Hype Timeline
CMUV Bancorp is currently traded for 24.72. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CMUV is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on CMUV Bancorp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.72. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.09. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CMUV Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 7th of December 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.CMUV Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CMUV Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CMUV Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how CMUV Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CMUV Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CFOK | Community First Bancorporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SQCF | Susquehanna Community Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | 0.01 | 1.73 | (1.77) | 6.80 | |
| TSBA | Touchstone Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MIFF | Mifflinburg Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.85 | (1.61) | 6.48 | |
| RBAZ | Republic Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.19 | 0.05 | 0.80 | (0.54) | 7.35 | |
| PSBP | PSB Holding Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NUBC | Northumberland Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | 0.15 | 2.06 | (1.47) | 7.91 | |
| MYBF | Muncy Bank Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WAYN | Wayne Savings Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EGFHF | EFH Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
CMUV Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CMUV Bancorp otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CMUV Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CMUV Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CMUV Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CMUV Bancorp otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CMUV Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CMUV Bancorp otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CMUV Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CMUV Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of CMUV Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CMUV Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cmuv otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2815 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6753 | |||
| Variance | 0.4561 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CMUV Bancorp
The number of cover stories for CMUV Bancorp depends on current market conditions and CMUV Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CMUV Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CMUV Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Other Consideration for investing in CMUV OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in CMUV Bancorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the CMUV Bancorp's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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