Copenhagen Capital Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CPHCAP-ST  DKK 5.05  0.10  1.94%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Copenhagen Capital AS on the next trading day is expected to be 5.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.10. Copenhagen Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Copenhagen Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Copenhagen Capital AS's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Copenhagen Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Copenhagen Capital - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Copenhagen Capital prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Copenhagen Capital price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Copenhagen Capital.

Copenhagen Capital Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Copenhagen Capital AS on the next trading day is expected to be 5.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Copenhagen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Copenhagen Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Copenhagen Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

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Copenhagen Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Copenhagen Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Copenhagen Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.56 and 6.56, respectively. We have considered Copenhagen Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.05
5.06
Expected Value
6.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Copenhagen Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Copenhagen Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0525
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0102
SAESum of the absolute errors3.0998
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Copenhagen Capital observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Copenhagen Capital AS observations.

Predictive Modules for Copenhagen Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Copenhagen Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.555.056.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.635.126.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Copenhagen Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Copenhagen Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Copenhagen Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Copenhagen Capital.

Other Forecasting Options for Copenhagen Capital

For every potential investor in Copenhagen, whether a beginner or expert, Copenhagen Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Copenhagen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Copenhagen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Copenhagen Capital's price trends.

Copenhagen Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Copenhagen Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Copenhagen Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Copenhagen Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Copenhagen Capital Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Copenhagen Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Copenhagen Capital's current price.

Copenhagen Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Copenhagen Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Copenhagen Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Copenhagen Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Copenhagen Capital AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Copenhagen Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Copenhagen Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Copenhagen Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting copenhagen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Copenhagen Capital

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Copenhagen Capital position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Copenhagen Capital will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Copenhagen Capital could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Copenhagen Capital when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Copenhagen Capital - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Copenhagen Capital AS to buy it.
The correlation of Copenhagen Capital is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Copenhagen Capital moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Copenhagen Capital moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Copenhagen Capital can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Copenhagen Stock

Copenhagen Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Copenhagen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Copenhagen with respect to the benefits of owning Copenhagen Capital security.