PT Toba Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

CRAB Stock   260.00  2.00  0.76%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PT Toba Surimi on the next trading day is expected to be 259.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.30. CRAB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for PT Toba Surimi is based on a synthetically constructed PT Tobadaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

PT Toba 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PT Toba Surimi on the next trading day is expected to be 259.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.30, mean absolute percentage error of 8.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CRAB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PT Toba's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PT Toba Stock Forecast Pattern

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PT Toba Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PT Toba's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PT Toba's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 258.36 and 260.64, respectively. We have considered PT Toba's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
260.00
258.36
Downside
259.50
Expected Value
260.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PT Toba stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PT Toba stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria83.5113
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.022
MADMean absolute deviation2.3
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0089
SAESum of the absolute errors94.3
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. PT Toba Surimi 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for PT Toba

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Toba Surimi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
258.86260.00261.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
256.86258.00286.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
256.23259.75263.27
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PT Toba

For every potential investor in CRAB, whether a beginner or expert, PT Toba's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CRAB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CRAB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PT Toba's price trends.

PT Toba Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PT Toba stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PT Toba could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PT Toba by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PT Toba Surimi Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PT Toba's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PT Toba's current price.

PT Toba Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PT Toba stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PT Toba shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PT Toba stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PT Toba Surimi entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PT Toba Risk Indicators

The analysis of PT Toba's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PT Toba's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crab stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in CRAB Stock

PT Toba financial ratios help investors to determine whether CRAB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CRAB with respect to the benefits of owning PT Toba security.