Creepy Jar Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

CRJ Stock   261.50  6.50  2.43%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Creepy Jar SA on the next trading day is expected to be 264.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 677.88. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Creepy Jar's stock prices and determine the direction of Creepy Jar SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Creepy Jar's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Creepy Jar SA is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Creepy Jar 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Creepy Jar SA on the next trading day is expected to be 264.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.89, mean absolute percentage error of 256.93, and the sum of the absolute errors of 677.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Creepy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Creepy Jar's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Creepy Jar Stock Forecast Pattern

Creepy Jar Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Creepy Jar's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Creepy Jar's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 260.81 and 267.94, respectively. We have considered Creepy Jar's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
261.50
260.81
Downside
264.38
Expected Value
267.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Creepy Jar stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Creepy Jar stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3078
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 7.4276
MADMean absolute deviation11.8925
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.038
SAESum of the absolute errors677.875
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Creepy Jar. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Creepy Jar SA and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Creepy Jar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Creepy Jar SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Creepy Jar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Other Forecasting Options for Creepy Jar

For every potential investor in Creepy, whether a beginner or expert, Creepy Jar's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Creepy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Creepy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Creepy Jar's price trends.

Creepy Jar Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Creepy Jar stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Creepy Jar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Creepy Jar by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Creepy Jar SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Creepy Jar's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Creepy Jar's current price.

Creepy Jar Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Creepy Jar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Creepy Jar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Creepy Jar stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Creepy Jar SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Creepy Jar Risk Indicators

The analysis of Creepy Jar's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Creepy Jar's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting creepy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Creepy Jar

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Creepy Jar position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Creepy Jar will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Creepy Stock

  0.61PKN Polski Koncern NaftowyPairCorr

Moving against Creepy Stock

  0.72CEZ CEZ asPairCorr
  0.68DNP Dino Polska SAPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Creepy Jar could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Creepy Jar when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Creepy Jar - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Creepy Jar SA to buy it.
The correlation of Creepy Jar is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Creepy Jar moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Creepy Jar SA moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Creepy Jar can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Creepy Stock Analysis

When running Creepy Jar's price analysis, check to measure Creepy Jar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Creepy Jar is operating at the current time. Most of Creepy Jar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Creepy Jar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Creepy Jar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Creepy Jar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.