CareRx Corp Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CRRX Stock | CAD 1.88 0.05 2.73% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CareRx Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.09. CareRx Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although CareRx Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of CareRx Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of CareRx Corp fundamentals over time.
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CareRx Corp Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CareRx Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CareRx Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CareRx Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CareRx Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
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CareRx Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CareRx Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CareRx Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.38, respectively. We have considered CareRx Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CareRx Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CareRx Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0077 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0355 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0181 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.0928 |
Predictive Modules for CareRx Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CareRx Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for CareRx Corp
For every potential investor in CareRx, whether a beginner or expert, CareRx Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CareRx Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CareRx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CareRx Corp's price trends.CareRx Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CareRx Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CareRx Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CareRx Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CareRx Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CareRx Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CareRx Corp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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CareRx Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CareRx Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CareRx Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CareRx Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CareRx Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CareRx Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of CareRx Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CareRx Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting carerx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Variance | 6.28 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Other Information on Investing in CareRx Stock
CareRx Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether CareRx Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CareRx with respect to the benefits of owning CareRx Corp security.