Catskill Hudson Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CSKLDelisted Stock | USD 40.15 0.09 0.22% |
Catskill Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Catskill Hudson's share price is above 70 as of now suggesting that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Catskill, making its price go up or down. Momentum 75
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Catskill Hudson hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Catskill Hudson Bancorp from the perspective of Catskill Hudson response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Catskill Hudson Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 40.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.53. Catskill Hudson after-hype prediction price | USD 40.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Catskill |
Catskill Hudson Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Catskill price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Catskill using various technical indicators. When you analyze Catskill charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Catskill Hudson Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Catskill Hudson Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 40.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Catskill Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Catskill Hudson's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Catskill Hudson Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Catskill Hudson | Catskill Hudson Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Catskill Hudson pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Catskill Hudson pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1233 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5006 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0139 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.5344 |
Predictive Modules for Catskill Hudson
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catskill Hudson Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Catskill Hudson After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Catskill Hudson at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Catskill Hudson or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Catskill Hudson, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Catskill Hudson Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Catskill Hudson's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Catskill Hudson's historical news coverage. Catskill Hudson's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.15 and 40.15, respectively. We have considered Catskill Hudson's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Catskill Hudson is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Catskill Hudson Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Catskill Hudson Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Catskill Hudson is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Catskill Hudson backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Catskill Hudson, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
40.15 | 40.15 | 0.00 |
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Catskill Hudson Hype Timeline
Catskill Hudson Bancorp is currently traded for 40.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Catskill is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Catskill Hudson is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.15. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of January 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.Catskill Hudson Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Catskill Hudson's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Catskill Hudson's future price movements. Getting to know how Catskill Hudson's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Catskill Hudson may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FCCT | First Community | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1.44 | 0.00 | 6.60 | |
| WBZB | Washington Business Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MNBP | Mars Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRBW | Brunswick Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CBOF | CBOA Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TETAA | Teton Advisors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.64 | 0.00 | 6.60 | |
| CNBA | Chester Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RMBHF | RMB Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | |
| NUBC | Northumberland Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | 0.15 | 2.06 | (1.47) | 7.91 |
Catskill Hudson Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Catskill Hudson pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Catskill Hudson could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Catskill Hudson by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Catskill Hudson Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Catskill Hudson pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Catskill Hudson shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Catskill Hudson pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Catskill Hudson Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Catskill Hudson Risk Indicators
The analysis of Catskill Hudson's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Catskill Hudson's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting catskill pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7663 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Variance | 2.65 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Catskill Hudson
The number of cover stories for Catskill Hudson depends on current market conditions and Catskill Hudson's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Catskill Hudson is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Catskill Hudson's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Catskill Hudson Short Properties
Catskill Hudson's future price predictability will typically decrease when Catskill Hudson's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Catskill Hudson Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Catskill Hudson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Catskill Hudson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 316 K | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.48 | |
| Shares Float | 274 K |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Other Consideration for investing in Catskill Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Catskill Hudson Bancorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Catskill Hudson's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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