Consilium Acquisition Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CSLM Stock | USD 11.67 0.06 0.52% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Consilium Acquisition I on the next trading day is expected to be 11.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.79. Consilium Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Consilium Acquisition's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Consilium Acquisition's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Consilium Acquisition fundamentals over time.
Consilium |
Consilium Acquisition Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Consilium Acquisition I on the next trading day is expected to be 11.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Consilium Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Consilium Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Consilium Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern
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Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Consilium Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Consilium Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.5306 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0042 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0799 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0068 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.7919 |
Predictive Modules for Consilium Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Consilium Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.View Consilium Acquisition Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Consilium Acquisition Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Consilium Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Consilium Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Consilium Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Consilium Acquisition I entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Consilium Acquisition Risk Indicators
The analysis of Consilium Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Consilium Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting consilium stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6055 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Consilium Acquisition financial ratios help investors to determine whether Consilium Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Consilium with respect to the benefits of owning Consilium Acquisition security.