Consilium Acquisition Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| CSLM Stock | USD 11.35 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Consilium Acquisition I on the next trading day is expected to be 11.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.83. Consilium Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Consilium Acquisition's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Consilium Acquisition's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Consilium Acquisition fundamentals over time.
Consilium |
Consilium Acquisition Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Consilium Acquisition I on the next trading day is expected to be 11.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0009, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Consilium Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Consilium Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Consilium Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern
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Consilium Acquisition Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Consilium Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Consilium Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.12 and 11.58, respectively. We have considered Consilium Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Consilium Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Consilium Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.4164 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0014 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0142 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0013 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.835 |
Predictive Modules for Consilium Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Consilium Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Consilium Acquisition
For every potential investor in Consilium, whether a beginner or expert, Consilium Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Consilium Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Consilium. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Consilium Acquisition's price trends.View Consilium Acquisition Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Consilium Acquisition Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Consilium Acquisition's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Consilium Acquisition's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Consilium Acquisition Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Consilium Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Consilium Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Consilium Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Consilium Acquisition I entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Consilium Acquisition Risk Indicators
The analysis of Consilium Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Consilium Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting consilium stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.096 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2285 | |||
| Variance | 0.0522 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Consilium Acquisition. If investors know Consilium will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Consilium Acquisition listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Earnings Share (0.45) | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of Consilium Acquisition is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Consilium that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Consilium Acquisition's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Consilium Acquisition's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Consilium Acquisition's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Consilium Acquisition's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Consilium Acquisition's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Consilium Acquisition is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Consilium Acquisition's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.