CSLR Old Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CSLRDelisted Stock   1.81  0.03  1.63%   
CSLR Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of CSLR Old's share price is at 54 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CSLR Old, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CSLR Old's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CSLR Old and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CSLR Old's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CSLR Old, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CSLR Old hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CSLR Old from the perspective of CSLR Old response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CSLR Old on the next trading day is expected to be 2.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.63.

CSLR Old after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 1.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

CSLR Old Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CSLR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CSLR using various technical indicators. When you analyze CSLR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for CSLR Old is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of CSLR Old value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

CSLR Old Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CSLR Old on the next trading day is expected to be 2.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CSLR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CSLR Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CSLR Old Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CSLR Old  CSLR Old Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CSLR Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CSLR Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.3536
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0758
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0484
SAESum of the absolute errors4.6259
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of CSLR Old. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict CSLR Old. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for CSLR Old

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CSLR Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.811.811.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.461.461.99
Details

CSLR Old After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CSLR Old at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CSLR Old or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CSLR Old, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CSLR Old Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CSLR Old's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CSLR Old's historical news coverage. CSLR Old's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.81 and 1.81, respectively. We have considered CSLR Old's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.81
1.81
After-hype Price
1.81
Upside
CSLR Old is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CSLR Old is based on 3 months time horizon.

CSLR Old Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CSLR Old is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CSLR Old backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CSLR Old, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.81
1.81
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

CSLR Old Hype Timeline

CSLR Old is currently traded for 1.81. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CSLR is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on CSLR Old is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.81. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.2. CSLR Old had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

CSLR Old Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CSLR Old's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CSLR Old's future price movements. Getting to know how CSLR Old's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CSLR Old may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

CSLR Old Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CSLR Old stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CSLR Old could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CSLR Old by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CSLR Old Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CSLR Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CSLR Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CSLR Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CSLR Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for CSLR Old

The number of cover stories for CSLR Old depends on current market conditions and CSLR Old's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CSLR Old is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CSLR Old's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CSLR Old Short Properties

CSLR Old's future price predictability will typically decrease when CSLR Old's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CSLR Old often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CSLR Old's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CSLR Old's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.6 M
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

Other Consideration for investing in CSLR Stock

If you are still planning to invest in CSLR Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the CSLR Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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