China Travel Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

CTVIFDelisted Stock  USD 0.24  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Travel International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.93. China Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of China Travel's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 17th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of China Travel's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of China Travel's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of China Travel and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from China Travel's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Travel International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using China Travel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Travel International from the perspective of China Travel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Travel International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.93.

China Travel after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

China Travel Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for China Travel is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of China Travel International value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

China Travel Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Travel International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Travel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

China Travel Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest China TravelChina Travel Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Travel pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Travel pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.4368
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0153
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1023
SAESum of the absolute errors0.9322
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of China Travel International. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict China Travel. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for China Travel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Travel Interna. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.240.240.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.180.180.26
Details

China Travel Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Travel pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Travel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Travel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

China Travel Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Travel pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Travel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Travel pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify China Travel International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

Other Consideration for investing in China Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in China Travel Interna check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the China Travel's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world