Central Wireless Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CWIR Stock  USD 0.00001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Central Wireless on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000041 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.000025. Central Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Central Wireless' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Central Wireless' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Central Wireless fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Central Wireless' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Central Wireless' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Central Wireless and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Central Wireless' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Central Wireless, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Central Wireless hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Central Wireless from the perspective of Central Wireless response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Central Wireless on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000041 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.000025.

Central Wireless after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Wireless to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Central Stock, please use our How to Invest in Central Wireless guide.

Central Wireless Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Central price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Central using various technical indicators. When you analyze Central charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Central Wireless Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Central Wireless' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-03-31
Previous Quarter
-1.1 K
Current Value
-32.6 K
Quarterly Volatility
228 K
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Central Wireless is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Central Wireless value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Central Wireless Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Central Wireless on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000041, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.000025.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Central Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Central Wireless' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Central Wireless Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Central WirelessCentral Wireless Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Central Wireless Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Central Wireless' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Central Wireless' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 129.10, respectively. We have considered Central Wireless' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00001
0.000001
Expected Value
129.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Central Wireless stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Central Wireless stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria90.9077
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Central Wireless. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Central Wireless. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Central Wireless

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Wireless. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0000150.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000006350.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.000000280.000000280.00000028
Details

Central Wireless After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Central Wireless at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Central Wireless or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Central Wireless, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Central Wireless Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Central Wireless' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Central Wireless' historical news coverage. Central Wireless' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.00, respectively. We have considered Central Wireless' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.00001
0.00001
After-hype Price
50.00
Upside
Central Wireless is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Central Wireless is based on 3 months time horizon.

Central Wireless Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Central Wireless is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Central Wireless backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Central Wireless, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  16.67 
129.10
 0.00  
  0.56 
5 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.00001
0.00001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Central Wireless Hype Timeline

Central Wireless is currently traded for 0.00001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.56. Central is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 16.67%. %. The volatility of related hype on Central Wireless is about 382518.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.56. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Central Wireless had 1:20 split on the 26th of July 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Wireless to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Central Stock, please use our How to Invest in Central Wireless guide.

Central Wireless Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Central Wireless' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Central Wireless' future price movements. Getting to know how Central Wireless' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Central Wireless may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TATT Inc 0.28 6 per month 0.00 (0.23) 1.53 (1.85) 4.30 
VZVerizon Communications(0.47)6 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.98 (2.49) 5.34 
MRTMarti Technologies(0.01)8 per month 2.43 (0.03) 7.59 (4.02) 20.77 
CCCCC4 Therapeutics 0.36 8 per month 0.00 (0.03) 8.16 (7.32) 24.93 
HOLOMicroCloud Hologram(0.01)10 per month 0.00 (0.14) 5.57 (8.22) 15.30 
IMMRImmersion 0.13 12 per month 2.19 (0.03) 4.57 (3.90) 22.47 
ABSOFABS CBN Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  40.00 
HRZNHorizon Technology Finance(0.01)8 per month 0.79  0.12  2.53 (1.59) 11.64 

Other Forecasting Options for Central Wireless

For every potential investor in Central, whether a beginner or expert, Central Wireless' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Central Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Central. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Central Wireless' price trends.

Central Wireless Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Central Wireless stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Central Wireless could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Central Wireless by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Central Wireless Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Central Wireless stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Central Wireless shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Central Wireless stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Central Wireless entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Central Wireless

The number of cover stories for Central Wireless depends on current market conditions and Central Wireless' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Central Wireless is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Central Wireless' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Central Wireless Short Properties

Central Wireless' future price predictability will typically decrease when Central Wireless' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Central Wireless often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Central Wireless' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Central Wireless' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments-33.3 K

Additional Tools for Central Stock Analysis

When running Central Wireless' price analysis, check to measure Central Wireless' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Central Wireless is operating at the current time. Most of Central Wireless' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Central Wireless' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Central Wireless' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Central Wireless to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.