Cleanaway Waste Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CWY Stock   2.87  0.01  0.35%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cleanaway Waste Management on the next trading day is expected to be 2.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.64. Cleanaway Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Cleanaway Waste's Non Currrent Assets Other are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Long Term Investments is likely to gain to about 55.2 M in 2024, whereas Total Stockholder Equity is likely to drop slightly above 1.8 B in 2024.
A naive forecasting model for Cleanaway Waste is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cleanaway Waste Management value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cleanaway Waste Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cleanaway Waste Management on the next trading day is expected to be 2.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cleanaway Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cleanaway Waste's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cleanaway Waste Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cleanaway WasteCleanaway Waste Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cleanaway Waste Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cleanaway Waste's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cleanaway Waste's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.76 and 4.13, respectively. We have considered Cleanaway Waste's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.87
2.95
Expected Value
4.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cleanaway Waste stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cleanaway Waste stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.2752
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.027
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0094
SAESum of the absolute errors1.6444
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cleanaway Waste Management. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cleanaway Waste. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cleanaway Waste

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cleanaway Waste Mana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.682.874.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.432.623.81
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.020.020.02
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cleanaway Waste

For every potential investor in Cleanaway, whether a beginner or expert, Cleanaway Waste's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cleanaway Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cleanaway. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cleanaway Waste's price trends.

Cleanaway Waste Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cleanaway Waste stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cleanaway Waste could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cleanaway Waste by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cleanaway Waste Mana Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cleanaway Waste's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cleanaway Waste's current price.

Cleanaway Waste Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cleanaway Waste stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cleanaway Waste shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cleanaway Waste stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cleanaway Waste Management entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cleanaway Waste Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cleanaway Waste's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cleanaway Waste's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cleanaway stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Cleanaway Stock Analysis

When running Cleanaway Waste's price analysis, check to measure Cleanaway Waste's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cleanaway Waste is operating at the current time. Most of Cleanaway Waste's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cleanaway Waste's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cleanaway Waste's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cleanaway Waste to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.