Cargotec Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

CYJBFDelisted Stock  USD 64.00  0.00  0.00%   
Cargotec Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cargotec's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Cargotec's share price is above 80 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 86

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cargotec's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cargotec and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cargotec's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cargotec, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Cargotec hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cargotec from the perspective of Cargotec response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cargotec on the next trading day is expected to be 62.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.44.

Cargotec after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 64.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Cargotec Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cargotec price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cargotec using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cargotec charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Cargotec is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cargotec value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cargotec Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cargotec on the next trading day is expected to be 62.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.45, mean absolute percentage error of 4.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cargotec Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cargotec's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cargotec Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cargotec pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cargotec pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.5484
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.4499
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0261
SAESum of the absolute errors88.4411
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cargotec. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cargotec. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cargotec

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cargotec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.0064.0064.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.4651.4670.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
61.5262.6963.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cargotec. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cargotec's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cargotec's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cargotec.

Cargotec After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cargotec at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cargotec or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Cargotec, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cargotec Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cargotec's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cargotec's historical news coverage. Cargotec's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 64.00 and 64.00, respectively. We have considered Cargotec's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
64.00
64.00
After-hype Price
64.00
Upside
Cargotec is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cargotec is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cargotec Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cargotec is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cargotec backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cargotec, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
64.00
64.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Cargotec Hype Timeline

Cargotec is currently traded for 64.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cargotec is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cargotec is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 64.00. About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.58. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cargotec has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 347.71. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of March 2023. The firm had 2:1 split on the 3rd of December 2013. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Cargotec Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cargotec's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cargotec's future price movements. Getting to know how Cargotec's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cargotec may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Cargotec Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cargotec pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cargotec could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cargotec by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cargotec Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cargotec pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cargotec shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cargotec pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Cargotec entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Cargotec

The number of cover stories for Cargotec depends on current market conditions and Cargotec's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cargotec is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cargotec's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Other Consideration for investing in Cargotec Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Cargotec check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Cargotec's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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